tiger-wu

本来投资吗，没有精确的说法。也只是自己的一些经验和开发，只其参考作用。主要还是自己的决策。不然，人人都发财了。就像报纸上的广告，鼓励你去贷款投资；如果能赚很多钱，那代理他自己咋不贷款？

还是一句话，觉得加拿大这次遭受创伤应该不小。原材料价格急剧下跌；加拿大内需拉不动，主要国家人太少，而且大的投资又不多。毕竟中国和美国不一样，国家大，抗风险能力自然强些，扩大内需的投资都是上千亿；加拿大不可能有这么大的手笔。而且加拿大经济整体对外依赖太大，不然前几任领导人都建议发展同中国的关系，不要将赌注全部押在美国身上；但HARPER就是不听，现在是吞苦果的时候了。

Quebec的纸浆产业，你看一下报道，觉得会遭受严重的创伤。

lutracycn

要跌最好是过了圣诞节，大家回国都用钱，现在加币缩水了，真不划算，回国预算多花20%。:frown:

linsunrise

现在一直在5.5左右震荡，什么时候会更猛烈些呀？

Post by id20080401
看到了没，这次会来的更猛烈些。

nkboom

4:1 ? 不太可能吧？

我感觉现在就是底了。看美元对加元走势图，一个明显的大双头。

已经陆续换加元了。

nkboom

China's currency falls by record against U.S. dollar

             Decline may signal official policy shift towards devaluation, analysts say

                                                   By Chris Oliver, MarketWatch
         Last update: 6:34 a.m. EST Dec. 1, 2008
         Comments: 5
              
                           HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- China's currency staged a record loss against the U.S. dollar Monday, falling to the lower end of its daily trading limit, in what some analysts said is a policy shift as authorities let the yuan depreciate against the greenback in an effort to help bolster the decelerating economy.

          The yuan eased to 6.8848 against the dollar, falling to its 0.5% trading limit, its lowest level since May. Against the dollar, the Chinese currency was at 6.8349 yuan Friday.
               A gauge of China's manufacturing activity in November, as compiled by brokerage CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets, showed the sharpest contraction in the history of the survey, which began in 2004. The Purchasing Manager's Index fell to 40.9 in November, from 45.2 in the preceding month, its fourth straight monthly decline. Another PMI, released by the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, showed a similar result. That survey showed a PMI of 38.8 in November from 44.6 in October.
               "Today's PMI data indicates that export orders dropped quite a lot, suggesting that exports in November may have dropped quite significantly," said Morgan Stanley chief greater China economist, Qing Wang, "This should put more pressure on policy makers to allow the currency to depreciate to help the exporters."
                        The PMI is a gauge designed to provide a snap shot of the overall conditions in the manufacturing economy. A reading below 50 indicates deterioration in conditions from the previous month.
               The CLSA survey found manufacturing firms also cut payrolls at the steepest pace on record amid weak global demand for goods. Input prices and input purchases also fell by records as firms cut inventories of production materials in anticipation that demand will remain slack.
               "Companies widely commented that the bleak economic environment and poor demand were principal reasons contributing to the latest fall," CLSA wrote.
               Analysts said the current downturn in China's manufacturing sector is likely to deepen, triggering more cuts in production and employment.
               "We expect the Chinese economy to slow further for another several months before a rebound in mid 2009," wrote Merrill Lynch economists headed by Ting Lu in a note Monday. "It's our view that China's massive fiscal stimulus plan will help buffer the slowdown."
               Morgan Stanley's Wang said he expects the weakening of the Chinese currency against the dollar to be temporary. A longer-term devaluation would run the risk of sparking capital outflows, copy-cat devaluations of regional currencies and renewed trade tensions with the European Union, the U.S. and other big trading partners.
               He added fundamentals don't support a major softening of the yuan against the greenback, given China's large trade surplus.
                           "I don't think there is a foundation for the [yuan] to depreciate on a sustained basis," Wang said.         
               Analysts said the declines in the yuan were likely driven in part by state intervention and traders anticipating a weaker outlook for the manufacturing-dependant Chinese economy.

star03

什么都会发生， 但是千万不要认为有经验就能判断将来的发展 。 看看目前国家对人民币的调控，不难看出以后人民币兑美元的走势,而美元对加元的走势是否升降，还是很难判定的。

nndnds

人人都想抄底，真正能抄到底的有几个？中国股市3000点，4000点抄底的大有人在，现在都跌到地下室了，不知道地下室下面还有没有十八层地狱。